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How can that be you might ask? They're as different as day and night in terms of political ideology right, even if Trump (unlike his running mate) is not the usual classic pro-life conservative(ish) the R nominee usually is.
In both cases there were serious questions as to whether or not Obama 2008 and Trump 2016 were qualified to be POTUS, in Trump's case because he never held political office of any sort, and in Obama's case because he came out of nowhere from a nice 2004 DNC speech and only had fractions of terms in the IL and US Senate. And in both cases their opponent (Hillary both times, then McCain in Obama's case) were seen as well qualified and seemingly groomed to be a Presidental contender for years. But there was one thing, one very very important factor that made all the difference in the world for Obama 2008 and there is a very good possibility it may put Trump over the top.
Remember what the supporters of Obama 2008 were like compared to the ones for Hillary and later McCain (sure his running mate drew big excited crowds but in the end no one votes for VP) had? Hillary and McCain were certainly good, reasonably qualified candidates but their supporters were mostly "heh" about them. Obama meanwhile had huge excited crowds, and (yes here comes a Rocky III reference, deal with it) they were hungry!! So much so that he not only won quite convincingly but if you had told someone years ago that while we would sooner or later get a first black President (half black/biracial in Obama's case), he'd get three Confederate states they'd have said you were nuts.
And that is what Trump has had going for him all this time, the reason he managed to beat over a dozen R contenders who by all accounts were the more traditional classic R candidate types and more reasonably qualified and why he is now very much nipping at Hillary's heels with the debates coming up in a few days. His crowds, his supporters are hungry!! Hell, Obama's supporters/base haven't been hungry since they put him in the White House. IOW, Hillary, like McCain 2008 just aren't hungry enough and have a "meh" feeling for their candidate to go out of their way to support and vote for their candidate like Obama 2008 did and like I believe will be the case for Trump 2016.
http://oldpoliticals.com/ItemImages/.../36076_lg.jpeg
If that button looks at all familiar (it's an anti-Bush 41 button from 1992), compare it to Hillary's probability of winning the White House in August 14, compared to just one month later. It looked like she'd clean Trumps clocks and towers out, now, eh, not so much.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/
Here's a bonus Rocky analogy for ya, just for fun. I have no doubt Hillary's attitude towards Trump is just like Apollo's in the second movie. That is, in Hillary's view, what Trump did was an absolute miracle. He shouldn't have even had a chance but now, somehow, here he is. But of course only those right wing extremist looneys even bother with the R primarys, but now it's the real election and he will not last five minutes behind a debate podium with an experienced, professional politician like me!
I guess we'll soon find out.
In both cases there were serious questions as to whether or not Obama 2008 and Trump 2016 were qualified to be POTUS, in Trump's case because he never held political office of any sort, and in Obama's case because he came out of nowhere from a nice 2004 DNC speech and only had fractions of terms in the IL and US Senate. And in both cases their opponent (Hillary both times, then McCain in Obama's case) were seen as well qualified and seemingly groomed to be a Presidental contender for years. But there was one thing, one very very important factor that made all the difference in the world for Obama 2008 and there is a very good possibility it may put Trump over the top.
Remember what the supporters of Obama 2008 were like compared to the ones for Hillary and later McCain (sure his running mate drew big excited crowds but in the end no one votes for VP) had? Hillary and McCain were certainly good, reasonably qualified candidates but their supporters were mostly "heh" about them. Obama meanwhile had huge excited crowds, and (yes here comes a Rocky III reference, deal with it) they were hungry!! So much so that he not only won quite convincingly but if you had told someone years ago that while we would sooner or later get a first black President (half black/biracial in Obama's case), he'd get three Confederate states they'd have said you were nuts.
And that is what Trump has had going for him all this time, the reason he managed to beat over a dozen R contenders who by all accounts were the more traditional classic R candidate types and more reasonably qualified and why he is now very much nipping at Hillary's heels with the debates coming up in a few days. His crowds, his supporters are hungry!! Hell, Obama's supporters/base haven't been hungry since they put him in the White House. IOW, Hillary, like McCain 2008 just aren't hungry enough and have a "meh" feeling for their candidate to go out of their way to support and vote for their candidate like Obama 2008 did and like I believe will be the case for Trump 2016.
http://oldpoliticals.com/ItemImages/.../36076_lg.jpeg
If that button looks at all familiar (it's an anti-Bush 41 button from 1992), compare it to Hillary's probability of winning the White House in August 14, compared to just one month later. It looked like she'd clean Trumps clocks and towers out, now, eh, not so much.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/
Here's a bonus Rocky analogy for ya, just for fun. I have no doubt Hillary's attitude towards Trump is just like Apollo's in the second movie. That is, in Hillary's view, what Trump did was an absolute miracle. He shouldn't have even had a chance but now, somehow, here he is. But of course only those right wing extremist looneys even bother with the R primarys, but now it's the real election and he will not last five minutes behind a debate podium with an experienced, professional politician like me!
I guess we'll soon find out.
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